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Australia/China

Australia must prepare as China’s coercive capabilities draw closer (Malcolm Davis, The Strategist)

In a recent Lowy Institute paper, the Center for New American Security’s Thomas Shugart warns that China is building up its military capacity to coerce Australia directly, particularly in the event of US strategic retrenchment from the Indo-Pacific region.

He suggests a scenario in which China is successful in taking Taiwan; Japan and South Korea, sensing the waning of US power, then choose to be ‘Finlandised’ under Beijing. With the US ejected from East Asia, China can then wield an implied threat or actual use of force to coerce others, including Australia, to accept Chinese hegemony.

Australia must prepare as China’s coercive capabilities draw closer | The Strategist (aspistrategist.org.au)