Geostrategic magazine (january 24, 2024)



The Global Eye

Nuovo Umanesimo per la Pace / New Humanism for Peace (Marco Emanuele)



Daily from global think tanks and open sources

(the analyzes here recalled do not necessarily correspond to the geostrategic thinking of The Global Eye)


(Brookings) Foresight Africa aims to capture the top priorities for Africa in the coming year, offering recommendations for enhanced economic and political resilience

Foresight Africa 2024 | Brookings

Australia – Brazil 

(Deborah Barros Leal Farias, Alexander M. Hynd, William Clapton, Elizabeth Thurbon – Lowy The Interpreter) Diplomatic ties between Australia and Brazil have remained shallow and unfocused, even as Australian interest in Brazilian politics has swelled in recent years, and not just among the increasing number of Brazilians calling Australia home

Australia and Brazil must seize the chance for closer green cooperation | Lowy Institute

Australia – India

(Samuel Bashfield – ASPI The Strategist) India’s vast and growing maritime capacity could provide Australia alternative shipping in a crisis, both as Australia’s fleet takes shape and, once it’s established, to complement the fleet

Why Australia should work with India on a maritime strategic fleet | The Strategist (

Australia – Southeast Asia

(Hanh Nguyen – ASPI The Strategist) International diplomacy is no longer the exclusive area for national leaders. Subnational diplomacy, which refers to engagement activities involving local actors and institutions, offers Australia many new opportunities to engage southeast Asia

State and territory diplomacy can enhance Australia-Southeast Asia cooperation | The Strategist (


(Richard Kouyoumdjian Inglis – RUSI) Chilean public prosecutors will charge the chief of the national police for his involvement in anti-riot operations during Chile’s 2019 social uprising. This could cost the country dearly in its fight against delinquency and organised crime

Law and Disorder: The Unenviable Dilemma Facing Chile’s Police Forces | Royal United Services Institute (


1 – (Sophie Wushuang Yi – Lowy The Interpreter) Two recent developments underscore a transformation in China’s foreign relations, characterised by assertiveness and, paradoxically, also nuance

China’s evolving approach to multipolar world order in 2024 | Lowy Institute

2 – (David Lubin – Chatham House) Growth looks set to weaken this year, but authorities remain unable to deliver a large monetary stimulus and unwilling to deliver a large fiscal one

China’s economy is becoming a drag on global growth | Chatham House – International Affairs Think Tank

China – Near East

(Patricia M. Kim, Kevin Dong, Mallie Prytherch – Brookings) How is China responding to the Israel-Hamas war?

Chinese narratives on the Israel-Hamas war | Brookings

China – Taiwan – USA

(Bonny Lin, Brian Hart, Chen Ming-Chi, Shen Ming-Shih, Samantha Lu, Truly Tinsley, Yu-Jie (Grace) Liao – CSIS) There are critical questions about what kind of actions China might take to coerce Taiwan or force unification. Might China quarantine or blockade Taiwan, or would Beijing invade? Under what conditions would Beijing take various actions, and how capable is China? What approach should Taiwan, the United States, and its allies pursue? How do certain geopolitical developments change Beijing’s calculus?

Surveying the Experts: U.S. and Taiwan Views on China’s Approach to Taiwan (


(Esteban Ponce de León – Atlantic Council) A DFRLab analysis of the spread of footage depicting incidents of recent violence in Ecuador reveals that an armed attack on TC Televisión significantly heightened the public’s attention to distressing and violent videos emerging from Ecuador’s prisons, leading to their widespread circulation on social media

Gang violence and hostage-taking sow fear across Ecuadorian social media – DFRLab

Global Perspectives

(Oana Lungescu – RUSI) With two billion people around the world expected to vote in elections this year, the battle to counter disinformation has never been more pressing

Fighting Disinformation in a Dangerous Year | Royal United Services Institute (

Iran – Pakistan

(Chietigj Bajpaee – Chatham House) Despite fears that Iran–Pakistan strikes would see spillover of conflict from the Middle East, the situation remains relatively self-contained

Iran–Pakistan tensions: Why further escalation is unlikely | Chatham House – International Affairs Think Tank

Near East

(David Butter – Chatham House) The risk of regional escalation means that the Gulf Arab states should do more to push for a ceasefire, not only for humanitarian reasons, but for their economic self-interest

The economic case for a Gaza ceasefire | Chatham House – International Affairs Think Tank


(Alexandre Dayant, Meg Keen – ASPI The Strategist) The start of 2024 saw the Pacific islands hit global headlines with news of riots in Papua New Guinea and Nauru make a strategic switch in the diplomatic stoush between Taiwan and China. It’s been a lively start to the year, and it looks like the big stories will keep rolling, with elections, economic hurdles, climate activism and plenty of geopolitics

Drivers of change in the Pacific | Lowy Institute

Sweden – NATO 

(Atlantic Council) Application: still pending. It’s been 615 days since Sweden submitted its request to join NATO, and while it’s not in the Alliance yet, it got closer on Tuesday when Turkey’s parliament approved its accession. The ratification now goes to Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan to sign, after which all allies will have approved Sweden’s membership except Hungary. Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, who had previously promised that his country would not be the last, on Tuesday invited his Swedish counterpart to Budapest to discuss the matter. Below, Atlantic Council experts explain how Turkey voted, why Hungary is delaying, and what Sweden should expect next.

Experts react: How close is Sweden to joining NATO after the Turkish parliament’s approval? – Atlantic Council

USA – China

(Ellen Wald – Atlantic Council) The United States has a lithium problem. More precisely, US demand for lithium is growing exponentially while access to secure supplies of lithium is becoming more tenuous. The United States desperately needs to hasten the development of supply chains for critical minerals that don’t involve China and Chinese companies for both commercial and national security interests

The US wants to end its reliance on Chinese lithium. Its policies are doing the opposite. – Atlantic Council

USA – Israel

(Jonathan Masters, Will Merrow – Council on Foreign Relations) Israel has long been the leading recipient of U.S. foreign aid, including military support. That aid has come under heightened scrutiny amid Israel’s war to eliminate Hamas

U.S. Aid to Israel in Four Charts | Council on Foreign Relations (


The Science of Where Magazine (Direttore: Emilio Albertario)

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