LABORATORIO DI RICERCA COMPLESSA / COMPLEX RESEARCH LABORATORY
Daily from global think tanks
(the analyzes here recalled do not necessarily correspond to the geostrategic thinking of The Global Eye)
China
1 – Anushka Saxena (Observer Research Foundation) writes that the 2023 Chinese Central Economic Work Conference (CEWC) concluded on December 12. Overall, the course of action seems quite clear: move from export-led growth to domestic demand-led growth
What does China’s 2024 economic policy look like? (orfonline.org)
2 – Sameer Patil, Prithvi Gupta (Observer Research Foundation) write that the Digital Silk Road (DSR), part of the Belt and Road Initiative, represents Beijing’s approach to expanding information exchanges and digital cooperation with emerging markets and developing economies. The Authors focus on DSR operations in the Indo-Pacific region by examining two main activities: the laying of submarine cables and the installation of high-tech security cameras
3 – Liu Sha (ThinkChina) scrive che, mentre Pechino sembra essere in vantaggio rispetto alla concorrenza nella produzione di veicoli elettrici e batterie, le questioni relative ai costi, alla qualità e alla sostenibilità devono essere prese in considerazione nel valutare la resilienza della leadership cinese
EV battery race: Has China won? , Technology News – ThinkChina
China – Russia
Shravishtha Ajaykumar (Observer Research Foundation) writes that, in 2019, China and Russia strengthened their collaboration in scientific and technological innovation. This collaboration, which dates back to the 1990s, was relaunched in a letter signed by Chinese President Xi Jinping in March 2023, before his visit to Russia. In 2021, Russia and China launched the road map for lunar research and exploration. The collaboration also included remote sensing, electronic components for spaceflight applications and space debris tracking. In the field of cooperation in nuclear technology and energy, the two countries have undertaken the construction of the seventh and eighth thrusters. The third and fourth units of the Xudabao nuclear power plant in China were launched in May 2021. Additionally, the countries promised the completion of a cross-border gas pipeline to supply natural gas via Beijing, Shanghai and Tianjin routes. Of particular interest is strategic convergence in the biotechnology sector: Beijing and Moscow recognize its potential not only to drive their scientific progress but also to reshape the global scientific landscape
Global implications of the Sino-Russian biotechnology collaboration (orfonline.org)
India
Arya Roy Bardhan (Observer Research Foundation) writes that the Indian economy had a very positive year, ending 2023 with a GDP of $3.73 trillion, a GDP per capita of $2,610, and a projected growth rate of 6, 3% versus the global average of 2.9%. India is set to become a $5 trillion economy by 2027. The Author analyzes the strengths and efforts that need to be made in 2024
Indian economy: 2023 wrapped (orfonline.org)
Israel
1 – Galit Cohen, Gal Shani (INSS) write that, unlike most OECD countries, Israel is not doing enough to finance the achievement of the goals set out in the Paris Agreement to address the climate crisis. How should Israel act?
Climate Finance: Is Israel Missing Out Again? | INSS
2 – Gershon Hacohen (BESA Center) writes that, on the morning of October 7, 2023, Israel’s strategic concept of security collapsed, marking the end of the 30 years that have passed since the Oslo Accords. To win the war against Hamas, Israel will have to adapt its concept of security to improve its perception of the nature of Hamas’ struggle against the Jewish state
A New Existential War – Part I: Israel’s Perception of the Enemy’s Goals (besacenter.org)
3 – Tamar Hermann, Or Anabi (Israel Democracy Institute) write that about two-thirds (66%) of Israelis say Israel should not accept US demands to move to a phase of the war with reduced heavy bombing in populous areas. 75% of Israeli Jews oppose complying with the demands, compared to only 21% of Israeli Arabs
Japan
Kei Hakata, Teruaki Aizawa, Brendon J. Cannon (Observer Research Foundation) write that, in recent years, a very significant evolution has occurred in Japan’s strategic narrative. Diplomats in Tokyo now talk of a “free and open international order based on the rule of law” rather than the more familiar “free and open Indo-Pacific”
Japan’s evolving strategic messaging to the Indo-Pacific and beyond (orfonline.org)
South Africa – Israel
Pnina Sharvit Baruch, Tammy Caner (INSS) write that, on December 30, South Africa appealed to the International Court of Justice in The Hague claiming that Israel is committing genocide in the Gaza Strip and asking for provisional measures to immediately stop the fighting
South Africa Initiates Proceedings at the ICJ against Israel over Genocide | INSS
Taiwan
David Sacks (Council on Foreign Relations) writes that, on January 13, 2024, Taiwan will hold its eighth presidential election, a three-way contest between Vice President William Lai of the ruling Democratic Progressive Party, New Taipei Mayor Hou Yu-ih of Kuomintang or Nationalist Party and former Taipei City Mayor Ko Wen-je of the Taiwan People’s Party. Hou Yu-ih promised to invest in Taiwan’s defenses while pursuing dialogue with China. It is unclear whether Beijing will condition the latter solution on Hou not pursuing the former
USA
1 – Patrick Quirk (Atlantic Council) writes that, at a time when antidemocratic forces are driving global instability, the United States must act more effectively on the issue of strengthening democracy abroad as a core national interest
Six ways for the US to put democracy back on the global agenda in 2024 – Atlantic Council
2 – Bruce Hoffman and Jacob Ware (Council on Foreign Relations), in the book ‘God, Guns, and Sedition’, explore the current state of far-right terrorism in the United States and recommendations for stopping its rise
God, Guns, and Sedition | Council on Foreign Relations (cfr.org)
Nuovo Umanesimo / New Humanism (Marco Emanuele)
- Nuovo umanesimo e pace. Un lavoro ‘tri-unitario’ / New humanism and peace. A ‘tri-unitary’ work
- Nuovo umanesimo e pace. Occorre spezzare il circolo vizioso del ri-vendicare / New humanism and peace. We need to break the vicious cycle of re-avenging
- Nuovo umanesimo, pace e la sfida dal ‘profondo’ / New humanism, peace and the challenge from ‘deep’
- Nuovo umanesimo. Un punto di svolta / New humanism. A turning point
- Per un ‘nuovo umanesimo’. Il nostro impegno / For a ‘new humanism’. Our commitment
- La complessità e le giuste domande / Complexity and the right questions (Marzia Giglioli)
- L’intelligenza artificiale e la sindrome Oppenheimer / Artificial intelligence and the Oppenheimer syndrome (Marzia Giglioli)
- Africa, in grande spolvero il mercato dei droni / Africa, the drone market is booming (Carlo Rebecchi)
The Science of Where Magazine (Direttore: Emilio Albertario)
