Geostrategic magazine (january 6, 2024)


Daily from global think tanks

(the analyzes here recalled do not necessarily correspond to the geostrategic thinking of The Global Eye)


Crisis Group writes that the ruling Awami League and the opposition Bangladesh Nationalist Party are competing in the January 7 general elections. Amid growing discontent over the ruling party’s authoritarianism and economic mismanagement, the government’s crackdown on mostly peaceful protests and the arrest of senior opposition leaders have inflamed tensions

Beyond the Election: Overcoming Bangladesh’s Political Deadlock | Crisis Group

Biotechnology in Warfare

Luke J. Matthews, Mary Lee, Brandon De Bruhl, Daniel Elinoff, Christopher A. Eusebi (RAND Corporation) examine, in a report, current and potential future uses of biotechnology in warfare. The Authors envision a future in which biotechnology is used by both state and non-state actors to influence warfighting. Future actors could use pathogens, brain-computer interfaces (BCIs), genomic enhancements, and wearable technology to complement and strengthen warfighters

Plagues, Cyborgs, and Supersoldiers: The Human Domain of War | RAND


1 – Arran Hope (The Jamestown Foundation) writes about President Xi’s end-of-year speech. While the form of this year’s event was no different from previous years, the content diverged in ways that are indicative of Xi’s changing priorities and the Party’s growing concerns about the state of the nation

Xi’s New Year’s Speech Dismisses Difficulties – Jamestown

2 – Zoë Moore (The Jamestown Foundation) writes about advances in brain-computer interfaces (BCIs) in China. This technology represents an increasingly important part of China’s ambitions to become a scientific and technological superpower. BCIs are, for Beijing, a key technology, among the seven cutting-edge technologies identified by the 14th Five-Year Plan and its long-term goals up to 2035. BCIs are a subfield of neuroscience and engineering research that relies on enormous amounts of data to interpret biological states. Regarding use, outside the medical area, there are concerns about human-machine integration in military applications and data privacy

Brain-Computer Interfaces: Medical Miracles and Innovation Policy – Jamestown

China – Taiwan

Kristian McGuire (The Jamestown Foundation) write about the importance of Kinmen and Lienchiang counties, crucial for cross-Strait activities, in the framework of relations between China and Taiwan

Taiwan’s Offshore Islands: Assessments Of Support For Integration – Jamestown

Climate Action 

Matt Ince (Royal United Services Institute) writes that more than a third of states recognize that climate change represents a significant and growing challenge to global stability. Keeping pace with the myriad of climate-related security risks, however, requires strong leadership driven by actionable intelligence and a greater focus on strategic early warning

Delivering Climate Security Requires an Intelligence-Led Response | Royal United Services Institute (


Crisis Group writes that foreign security personnel are expected to begin arriving in Haiti in early 2024 to assist the national police in the fight against the gangs that besiege much of the country. Authorized by the United Nations, led by Kenya and planned with support from the United States, this multinational mission aims to restore security and enable long-overdue elections

Haiti’s Gangs: Can a Foreign Mission Break Their Stranglehold? | Crisis Group

Near East

Noah Berman (Council on Foreign Relations) writes that, since mid-November 2023, Yemen’s Houthis have attacked dozens of commercial ships in the Red Sea. An exodus of shipping companies from the region now threatens to strain supply chains and raise consumer prices just as global inflation begins to ease. The United States has announced an international security initiative to protect commercial shipping, but some experts say the effort is not enough to provide the necessary deterrence, while others fear that a strong response could push the region into a broader conflict

How Houthi Attacks in the Red Sea Threaten Global Shipping | Council on Foreign Relations (


Shuja Nawaz (East Asia Forum) writes that, in 2023, Pakistan found itself in the midst of a dramatic economic crisis. Inflation reached 40%, energy shortages were frequent, while exports, remittances and foreign direct investment declined. The country faces a constitutional crisis, with Punjab and Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa provinces failing to hold elections within the stipulated 90 days of the dissolution of their assemblies. Former Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif’s national coalition, which took power after ousting former Prime Minister Imran Khan in a no-confidence vote, has decided to hold new elections in February 2024

Military influence and political peril in Pakistan | East Asia Forum


Billy Stampfl (East Asia Forum) writes that both the United States and China will strategically observe the outcome of Taiwan’s 2024 presidential election

China and the United States eye Taiwan’s presidential tussle | East Asia Forum


William H. Frey (Brookings) writes that the latest Census Bureau statistics show that continued increases in immigration are the main driver of the United States’ modest population growth rate as the nation attempts to recover from historic pandemic lows

Immigration is driving the nation’s modest post-pandemic population growth, new census data shows | Brookings


The Global Eye

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