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Guerrilla tactics offer Ukraine’s best chance against Putin’s invasion force (T. X. Hammes, Atlantic Council)

While there is no consensus concerning what recent Russian military activity near Ukraine means, it has led to strong statements from US officials. On December 3, the Washington Post reported that US intelligence has found the Kremlin is planning a multi-front offensive as soon as early next year involving up to 175,000 troops.

The Washington Post and other sources speculate the timing of the offensive will be based on the weather. It must turn cold long enough to harden the muddy terrain of eastern Ukraine to allow armored forces to maneuver. Thus the campaign will not start until January or February 2022.

Guerrilla tactics offer Ukraine’s best chance against Putin’s invasion force – Atlantic Council