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Geostrategic magazine

(Russia-Ucraina) Evoluzione della guerra, 15 dicembre 2022 (fonte: Karolina Hird, George Barros, Riley Bailey, Madison Williams, and Frederick W. Kagan, Institute for the Study of War)

Russia may be setting conditions to conduct a new offensive against Ukraine— possibly against Kyiv—in winter 2023. Such an attack is extraordinarily unlikely to succeed. A Russian attack from Belarus is not imminent at this time.

Russian President Vladimir Putin’s objectives in Ukraine have not changed according to Ukrainian officials’ and ISW’s assessments based on Kremlin statements and actions.

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 15 | Institute for the Study of War (understandingwar.org)