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Is the spike in federal revenue permanent? (Kyle Pomerleau, AEI)

The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) recently published its monthly budget review for September, now estimating a spike in federal tax receipts for the 2021 fiscal year. According to CBO, individual income tax receipts will climb by $443 billion (27.5 percent), and corporate income tax receipts will climb by $158 billion (74.8 percent). Overall, federal revenue is estimated […]

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Unemployment insurance at a crossroads: Tracing program design during and beyond COVID-19 (Amy Simon, AEI)

The COVID-19-related emergency policy interventions in the unemployment insurance (UI) system1 unfolded quickly and will have long-lasting ramifications. While the Great Recession produced modest policy changes, the 2020 relief bills, follow-on state implementation efforts, and record-breaking increases in claims have shifted the paradigm. This creates a unique opportunity to examine long-running structural questions in UI program […]

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A reset for assessment: Toward a less burdensome accountability system (Jack Buckley, AEI)

Standardized educational assessments are often criticized as overly burdensome, competing for vital instructional time and narrowing the curriculum to what is tested. They are regarded as expensive, diverting scarce resources from students, teachers, and classrooms to shadowy testing companies. They are unfair, showing stubborn achievement gaps between rich and poor, Black and White, and suburban […]

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The divided state of our unions (W. Bradford Wilcox, Lyman Stone, Wendy Wang, Jason Carroll, AEI)

Where is the American family headed as COVID-19 finally seems to be abating? Focusing on family formation in the United States, this report considers three possibilities: (a) the “decadence-deepens scenario,” where marriage and fertility fall further in the wake of the pandemic; (b) the “renaissance scenario,” where men and women turn towards family formation in […]

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Invoking Big Tech as an accusation can endanger American security (Klon Kitchen, AEI)

Could Congress’s antitrust campaign against Big Tech derail America’s strategic competition with China? A bipartisan collection of senior national security leaders — including a former Secretary of Defense, former Director of National Intelligence, former CIA executives, and a former White House Homeland Security adviser — think so, and we would do well to listen. Invoking […]

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House reconciliation bill struggles with Biden’s flawed $400,000 tax pledge (Alan D. Viard, AEI)

During his successful presidential campaign last year, Joe Biden made a sweeping and misguided pledge about his tax plan: “Nobody making under 400,000 bucks would have their taxes raised, period, bingo.” The pledge’s flaws, which I have previously discussed, are on full display in the budget reconciliation bill recently assembled by the House Budget Committee. Some of the bill’s provisions […]

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How do we make sense of the new poverty data for 2020? (Angela Rachidi, AEI)

Few things are more frustrating than when the government releases statistics that require an explanation from technical experts for anyone to make sense of them. But flaws and unduly complicated formulas leave us in exactly that situation when it comes to poverty in the US. This year’s release of poverty data for the US is even more […]

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Prioritize long-range nuclear limits (John D. Maurer, AEI)

Great-power arms control negotiations are back on the table as the United States and Russia prepare for new “strategic stability talks” following the Joe Biden–Vladimir Putin summit in June 2021 in Geneva. As American negotiators prepare for these talks, a consensus is growing in Washington that future agreements must place limits on Russian shorter-range nuclear weapons […]

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USA. The future of the American city: My long-read Q&A with Ed Glaeser (James Pethokoukis, AEI)

America’s cities have been hit hard by the COVID-19 pandemic, fueling predictions of prolonged urban flight and decline. “Cities are over,” we are being told. But cities are hubs of productivity and opportunity that have endured plagues for thousands of years. Will America’s cities survive the pandemic? And what’s in store for cities in the […]

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Privacy Laws/International Trade. Are privacy laws compatible with international trade? Highlights from my conversation with Nigel Cory (Shane Tews, AEI)

As countries impose new requirements on data collection and governance, the flow of consumer data between countries and business entities is becoming more restricted than ever — making it difficult for companies to ensure they are in compliance with new regulations. The ongoing challenge to keep up with regulatory changes often means building expensive new […]

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TechInnovation/USA/Afghanistan. Lessons learned from the government’s failure to understand technology’s power (Shane Tews, AEI)

Taliban soldiers stand in front of protesters during a demonstration in Kabul, Afghanistan, September 7, 2021, via Reuters Following the United States’ withdrawal from Afghanistan, the Taliban have reportedly seized biometrics devices left behind by the US military. Over the past 20 years, these devices collected information on Afghan citizens who assisted the US military, which was then sent […]

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USA/China – Four years ago today we had a China policy (AEI)

Derek Scissors On August 18, 2017, early in Donald Trump’s presidency, the US launched a Section 301 investigation of Chinese policies concerning intellectual property and technology. This was exactly the right thing to do. It was then transformed into something entirely different: tariffs unlinked to intellectual property violations, which was definitely not the right thing to […]