Belarus is growing increasingly isolated and is pushing itself more and more into Russia’s embrace. Moscow is taking the opportunity to cement Belarus as a buffer state against Western geopolitical influence. But contrary to the established analysis, unless there is a real chance of a pro-Western government being installed in Minsk, Russia is unlikely to push for any radical scenarios, including full integration.
Russia, Belarus, and the Empire Debate (besacenter.org)
Alexander Lukashenko and Vladimir Putin, image via Wikimedia Commons