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Geopolitics & Worlds In-Defense

Daily news – February 4, 2022 p.m.

AFGHANISTAN What the US and its allies left behind in Afghanistan. Amin Saikal, The Strategist: The Afghanistan war is over for the United States and its allies. But the suffering of the Afghan people has multiplied under the extremist, repressive rule of the Taliban in the name of Islam. No country today is in as […]

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Major Power Rivalry and Multilateral Conflict Management (Richard Gowan, Crisis Group)

An era of international conflict management appears to be at an end.  In the three decades since the conclusion of the Cold War, the United States, its allies, and multilateral organizations such as the United Nations have devoted considerable political, military, and financial resources to mediating regional conflicts and civil wars and rebuilding fragile states. Major […]

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Why Jerusalem Cannot be ‘Taken Off the Table’ (Mairav Zonszein, Crisis Group)

In the past few weeks, Israeli-occupied East Jerusalem has been the site of several violent attacks in which Palestinians, many of them teenagers, have gone out to stab Israelis, and then often paid for it with their lives. Last month, a Palestinian, just 16 years old, stabbed two border police officers in Jerusalem’s Old City, […]

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Time to End Ethiopia’s Unwinnable Civil War (Crisis Group)

Federal forces have recorded gains in recent weeks but Ethiopia’s brutal civil war may well grind on without a winner. Addis Ababa must let more aid into blockaded Tigray and the region’s dissident leadership should recognise the federal government’s legitimacy pending detailed ceasefire talks. Time to End Ethiopia’s Unwinnable Civil War | Crisis Group

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Mali: Enabling Dialogue with the Jihadist Coalition JNIM (Crisis Group)

Authorities in Mali seem to be considering negotiations with Jamaat Nusratul Islam wal-Muslimin, the country’s largest Islamist insurgency. Pursuing talks will be a tall order, given the stakes and the group’s al-Qaeda connection. Both the government and the militants should begin with incremental steps. Mali: Enabling Dialogue with the Jihadist Coalition JNIM | Crisis Group

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Lebanon: A Journey to the End of the State (Crisis Group)

Like many residents who can afford it, in the summer of every year I flee Lebanon’s sweltering heat for Europe. This year, though, I return in early August, when the temperatures are highest, to get my scheduled second shot of the COVID-19 vaccine. Lebanon: A Journey to the End of the State | Crisis Group

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A Broken Canopy: Deforestation and Conflict in Colombia (Crisis Group)

Colombia’s vast forest is fast receding, partly because guerrillas and criminals are clearing land for farming, ranching and other pursuits. These unregulated activities are causing both dire environmental harm and deadly conflict. Bogotá should take urgent steps to halt the damage. A Broken Canopy: Deforestation and Conflict in Colombia | Crisis Group

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Getting Conflict into the Global Climate Conversation (Crisis Group)

World leaders are meeting in Glasgow to talk about what to do to ameliorate the mounting climate crisis. In this Q&A, Crisis Group experts Ulrich Eberle and Andrew Ciacci explain why these discussions cannot neglect questions of war and peace. Getting Conflict into the Global Climate Conversation | Crisis Group

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After the Coup, Restoring Sudan’s Transition (Jonas Horner, Crisis Group)

Mass protests have erupted throughout Sudan following the 25 October coup, prompting backlash from the security forces. In this Q&A, Crisis Group expert Jonas Horner outlines de-escalatory moves that could reinstate the constitutional order – and reset the country’s transition. After the Coup, Restoring Sudan’s Transition | Crisis Group

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The Deadly Stalemate in Post-coup Myanmar (Crisis Group)

What’s new? A dangerous stalemate has developed between Myanmar’s military regime and resistance forces. Both sides are determined to prevail, but neither seems likely to deliver a knockout blow imminently. With deadly attacks on regime targets and brutal regime retaliation continuing, violence and insecurity will persist across the country. The Deadly Stalemate in Post-coup Myanmar | […]

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Afghanistan. Who Will Run the Taliban Government? (Crisis Group)

The Taliban announced an “interim” cabinet on 7 September, their first step since taking power on 15 August toward forming a government and signalling how they intend to rule. The cabinet is filled with long-time key Taliban figures from their days as a government and later an insurgency, and it bears a strong resemblance to […]

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9/11-Al Qaeda-ISIS. Al-Qaeda and ISIS twenty years after 9/11 (Crisis Group)

On the eve of the twentieth anniversary of the 9/11 attacks, a new episode of Hold Your Fire! looks at the shadow cast by the “global war on terror” across South Asia, the Middle East and Africa. Richard Atwood and Naz Modirzadeh discuss how Islamist militants – groups like al-Qaeda and later ISIS – have fared in twenty years […]