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Cyber Security, Digital Transition, Technology Geopolitics & Worlds In-Defense In-Security Pensiero Strategico

Open newsletter – february 23, 2022

ASIA A divide is emerging between how the Asia Pacific region has responded to the Omicron wave of COVID-19, and how North American and Western European countries have responded. East Asia Forum, Jeremy Youde: Asia’s cautious approach to Omicron AUSTRALIA One of the former Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade officials involved with a new […]

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Global Topics

Suicide Attacks Worldwide in 2021: The Downward Trend Continues (Aviad Mendelboim, Yoram Schweitzer, Ido Gadi Raz, INSS)

Over the past five years there has been a clear downward trend in the number of suicide attacks worldwide, with a particularly sharp drop in 2021. This trend is apparently the combined result of the significant weakening of the Islamic State following its military defeat in Syria and Iraq, and the withdrawal or considerable reduction […]

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Jordan 2021: Cause for Concern in Israel, but No Need to Panic (Oded Eran, INSS)

Recent developments in Jordan and its immediate neighborhood have raised questions about the stability of the regime in the kingdom, and with that, have aroused concern in Israel. The questions stem from the possible ramifications of the economic crisis in Jordan, especially among the tribal Bedouin population, which is the traditional support base of the […]

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Antisemitism in the United States: A Critical Look at the Data, Monitoring, and Measurement (Tom Eshed, INSS)

A variety of government entities, law enforcement agencies, and civil society organizations—Jewish and non-Jewish—are engaged in tracking antisemitic incidents in the US. They maintain extensive databases, conduct opinion polls, and sometimes publish reports summarizing the state of antisemitism in the US and other parts of the world, including the number of incidents, their character, and […]

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The Arrangements Law and the Palestinian Economies (Haggay Etkes, INSS)

Publicly, Israeli governments attach great importance to the economic situation of the Palestinians as related to political-security stability. However, the public debates on trade and agriculture reforms included in the Arrangements Law (attached to the budget bill) do not address their impact on the Palestinian economies. This article discusses the expected implications of these reforms […]

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The Incoming Government in Lebanon: Little New under the Sun (Orna Mizrahi, INSS)

After a delay of more than a year, a new government was formed in Lebanon, led by billionaire Najib Mikati. The government will be able to stem the collapse of Lebanon, which is in the midst of the worst crisis in the history of the country, only if it learns to advance the reforms demanded […]

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Recent Challenges to Relations between the IDF and Israeli Society (Meir Elran, Ofer Shelah, Kobi Michael, Carmit Padan, Zipi Israeli, INSS)

Public confidence in the IDF is a central social-national asset that enables the military to enlist support, resources, and quality manpower, particularly when civilian needs become prominent and threaten its seniority as a public system. Several recent events may reflect growing gaps between the public’s attitudes regarding how the IDF is managed and how the […]

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End of the Merkel Era: Sic Transit Gloria Mundi (Shimon Stein, INSS)

The elections in Germany on September 26, 2021 brought to an end Angela Merkel’s 16 consecutive years as Chancellor. Her approach to management of affairs of state and international issues was characterized by mastery of the facts, credibility, avoidance of statements or actions that could encourage extreme positions, and an effort to reach a broad […]

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Hamas/Israel. Hamas has its Own Logic. What is Israel’s Logic? (Udi Dekel, INSS)

Hamas is conducting an ongoing campaign of attrition against Israel. The organization began initiating violent incidents from the Gaza Strip the very same week it scored its first achievements since Operation Guardian of the Walls, with Israel’s announcement that it was easing the closure and that a way was found to transfer funds from Qatar […]

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Afghanistan. Adapting to a new reality in Afghanistan (INSS)

How will regional states respond to the Taliban’s victory in Afghanistan? The IISS research team offers their insights into how governments will be carefully recalibrating relationships after a tumultuous week for the region. Adapting to a new reality in Afghanistan (iiss.org)

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Defense/European Navies. European naval auxiliaries: heading for replenishment at last (INSS)

Hugo Decis Several European navies are finally recapitalising their sea-support platforms and adopting larger ships that, at least notionally, provide capability for longer or further-ranging deployments. This reflects a wider trend in the global maritime domain defence and security concerns only grow. European naval auxiliaries: heading for replenishment at last (iiss.org)

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Iran. Iran’s Deterrence Concept (INSS)

Ephraim Kam The Iranian regime has assembled a large toolbox to deter military, economic, and political challenges and threats. The foundation of this deterrence system is a large arsenal of missiles built in Iran and in the possession of Shiite militias, most prominently, Hezbollah. The militias are designated for land warfare against Iran’s adversaries; Iran’s […]